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What is negative gearing and does it still work in Brisbane? — Updated for the May 2026 budget

PropTalk Editorial·29 April 2026·4 min read
What is negative gearing and does it still work in Brisbane? — Updated for the May 2026 budget
ℹ️Data sources

ATO 2022–23 taxation statistics, CoreLogic March 2026, SQM Research April 2026, HIA April 2026, Money.com.au investor survey April 2026. All figures current as of publication date.

Negative gearing is one of the most talked about — and most misunderstood — concepts in Australian property investing. In April 2026 it is also one of the most urgent. With the federal budget landing on 13 May 2026 and Treasury actively modelling changes to both negative gearing and the capital gains tax discount, first-time investors in Brisbane need to understand what this strategy is, how it works — and what might be about to change.
In This Article
  1. 1.What is negative gearing in plain English
  2. 2.How the tax benefit actually works
  3. 3.A real numbers example for Brisbane
  4. 4.Does it still work in Brisbane in 2026?
  5. 5.The May 2026 budget reforms — what is being proposed
  6. 6.What the reforms mean for first-time investors
  7. 7.When it makes sense — and when it does not
  8. 8.The bottom line

1. What is negative gearing in plain English

Negative gearing simply means your investment property costs you more to hold than it earns in rent. Your rental income is less than your total expenses — mortgage interest, council rates, property management fees, insurance and maintenance.

In Australia the government allows you to deduct that annual shortfall against your other income — typically your wages — which reduces the amount of tax you pay overall. According to ATO data from 2022–23, approximately 1.3 million Australian taxpayers declared a net rental loss, collectively claiming over $10.2 billion in deductions.

💡Simple definition

Rental income minus all property expenses equals a negative number. That number reduces your taxable income. You lose money on the property each year but pay less tax — and bank on the property growing in value to more than offset those losses over time.

2. How the tax benefit actually works

The higher your income tax bracket the more valuable the deduction becomes. In 2022–23 approximately 37% of all rental deductions went to the top 10% of income earners — and 71% went to the top 30%. But that does not mean the strategy only suits high earners. Here is how the tax saving works across brackets:

45c
Saved per $1 loss — top 45% bracket
37c
Saved per $1 loss — 37% bracket
32.5c
Saved per $1 loss — 32.5% bracket
1.3M
Australians negatively geared

The tax benefit turns a real cash loss into a smaller net out-of-pocket cost. But it is critical to understand — the tax saving does not make you money. It reduces how much you lose. The strategy only truly works if capital growth over time more than offsets the accumulated annual losses.

3. A real numbers example for Brisbane

The RBA cash rate currently sits at approximately 4.10% after two rate rises in 2026 — pushing borrowing costs higher again for investors. Here is a realistic breakdown for an $800,000 property in outer Brisbane in 2026:

Brisbane investment property — annual cash flow 2026
Gross rental income (4.2% yield)+$33,600
Mortgage interest (6.5% on $640k)-$41,600
Property management (9%)-$3,024
Council rates and insurance-$3,500
Maintenance and repairs-$2,000
Annual rental loss-$16,524
Tax saving at 32.5% bracket+$5,370
Net out of pocket per year-$11,154 (~$214/week)
ℹ️Note on interest rates

Note that the RBA has raised rates twice in 2026 pushing the cash rate to 4.10%. This is reflected in the higher mortgage interest figure above. A 1% rate increase on a $640,000 loan adds approximately $6,400 per year in additional holding cost — making property selection and cash flow management even more critical than before.

4. Does it still work in Brisbane in 2026?

The honest answer is yes — for buyers in the right suburbs with the right financial position. Brisbane's fundamentals remain strong despite elevated rates.

8.1%
Brisbane capital growth to March 2026
0.8%
Brisbane vacancy rate — extremely tight
4.10%
Current RBA cash rate after 2 rises
10.9%
Brisbane growth forecast 2026 — KPMG

CoreLogic data shows Brisbane led capital growth among Australian capitals at 8.1% in the 12 months to March 2026. On an $800,000 property that represents approximately $64,800 in value growth in year one — well above the $11,154 annual out of pocket holding cost in the example above. But capital growth is never guaranteed and past performance does not predict future results.

ℹ️Brisbane context

Brisbane's vacancy rate of 0.8% is one of the tightest in the country. With the 2032 Olympics infrastructure pipeline, Cross River Rail and strong interstate migration continuing, the long term fundamentals supporting both rental demand and capital growth remain intact — even in a higher rate environment.

5. The May 2026 budget reforms — what is being proposed

This is the most important section for anyone considering a negative gearing strategy right now. The federal budget is due on 13 May 2026 and Treasurer Jim Chalmers has confirmed Treasury is actively modelling two specific changes:

PROPOSAL 1
Two-property cap on negative gearing
What changes
Rental losses from a third property or beyond would be quarantined — meaning they could only offset future rental income, not your salary or wages.
Who is affected
ATO data shows approximately 214,700 investors own three or more properties — about 9.5% of all investors.
First-time investor impact
Very likely unaffected — the cap only applies from a third property onward.
Not yet legislated
PROPOSAL 2
CGT discount reduced from 50% to 33%
What changes
The capital gains tax discount on investment assets held over 12 months may be cut from 50% to 33% — or possibly lower.
Extra tax (47% bracket)
For investors in the 47% bracket that represents an extra $15,980 in tax on a $200,000 capital gain.
When it applies
On sale of the property — not your ongoing annual strategy.
Not yet legislated
⚠️Breaking — April 2026

Reports on 28 April 2026 suggest the federal government is preparing significant housing tax reforms for the May budget including changes to both negative gearing and the CGT discount. Nothing is confirmed until budget night on 13 May 2026. Monitor this page for updates after the budget is handed down.

A Money.com.au survey of investors found that 39% would step back from the market or sell if the CGT discount were reduced, while 22% said a one-property negative gearing cap would lead them to take similar action — a combined 61% signalling potential pullback under the proposed reforms. However industry modelling warns that restricting negative gearing could reduce dwelling starts by up to 45,500 over five years and push rents up by more than 2% annually in real terms.

6. What the reforms mean for first-time investors

Here is the honest practical impact broken down clearly:

IF YOU OWN 1 OR 2 PROPERTIES
Very likely unaffected
The two-property cap as proposed would not affect you at all. You can continue to negatively gear your first and second investment properties under existing rules.
No impact expected
CGT DISCOUNT CHANGE
Affects when you sell
A reduced CGT discount increases your tax bill when you eventually sell — not your ongoing strategy. Grandfathering for existing properties is widely expected, meaning properties purchased before any legislation would retain the 50% discount.
Watch this space
💡PropTalk assessment

For first-time investors buying their first investment property in Brisbane and SEQ the proposed reforms are unlikely to affect you materially. The fundamentals of buying well-researched property in strong locations remain sound regardless of what the May budget contains. Do not let budget uncertainty delay a well-considered investment decision — but do get professional tax advice specific to your situation before committing.

7. When it makes sense — and when it does not

✓ Strengths
You are on a higher income — 32.5% bracket or above — and the tax saving meaningfully reduces your out of pocket cost
You are buying in a suburb with strong capital growth fundamentals backed by real infrastructure investment in SEQ
You can comfortably absorb the weekly shortfall — currently around $200+ per week on an $800k Brisbane property — without financial stress
Your investment timeline is 7 to 10 years or more — long enough for compounding capital growth to work in your favour
You have a meaningful cash buffer to cover rate rises, vacancy periods and unexpected repairs
⚠️ Risks
You are on a low income — the tax saving is minimal while the weekly cash loss at current rates is very real and potentially unsustainable
You are buying purely for the tax benefit without a credible capital growth thesis for the specific suburb
You are financially stretched — the weekly shortfall at current elevated rates could create genuine hardship if rates rise further or a vacancy occurs
⚠️Disclaimer

This article is general in nature and does not constitute financial or tax advice. Negative gearing outcomes depend on your individual tax position, income level and property selection. Always consult a licensed financial adviser and registered tax agent before making investment decisions based on tax considerations. Data sourced from ATO, CoreLogic, SQM Research, HIA and Money.com.au as of April 2026.

8. The bottom line

Negative gearing is not a strategy in itself — it is a tax outcome that results from a strategy. The strategy is buying quality property in a growth location and holding it long term. For first-time investors in Brisbane and SEQ do not chase negative gearing for its own sake. Focus on finding a property with genuine capital growth potential, run the real numbers on your holding costs at current interest rates and make sure you can comfortably absorb the weekly shortfall. Let the tax benefit be a bonus rather than the primary reason you are buying.

Want to know if negative gearing works for your situation?
Speak to a Brisbane investment specialist mortgage broker and get the real numbers modelled for your income, property goals and current interest rate environment.

General information only. This article does not constitute financial, legal, or investment advice. Always consult a licensed financial adviser or mortgage broker before making investment decisions.

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